Our Accuracy

A selection of some significant changes we have uncovered over the past two decades.

Work and Happiness
Work and Happiness
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Apr. 2019 2021

Misalignment between management and employees at nearly all pay levels will result in more people leaving their jobs and “The Great Resignation.”

Spreading Attitude on the Environment
Spreading Attitude on the Environment
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Aug. 2019 2020

Major increases in money moving into ESG funds, increase in corporate and governmental spending on renewables and climate adaptation technology.

The Streaming Deluge
The Streaming Deluge
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Oct. 2019 2020

Everything moves to streaming in 2020. Stock performance of streaming vehicles including Roku, Netflix and Peloton skyrocket.

Telemedicine Hits Its Stride
Telemedicine Hits Its Stride
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Aug. 2018 2020

Digital technology changed consumers' habits, shifted their expectations and taught them new behaviors. Teledoc stock triples. Telemedicine expands broadly during the pandemic.

Tracking, Monitoring and Surveillance
Tracking, Monitoring and Surveillance
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
May. 2018 2020

Major increases in government and corporate surveillance and tracking. The normalization of surveillance.

Brands, Branding and Changing Market Dynamics
Brands, Branding and Changing Market Dynamics
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Dec. 2017 2018

Consumer packaged food and good brands face growth pressure and stock declines. Private label companies grow.

Restructuring the Grocery Store Business
Restructuring the Grocery Store Business
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Apr. 2017 2017

Grocery companies see stock prices decline. Increase in grocery store bankruptcies. The beginning of a shift to delivery and omnichannel offerings.

Video Games Grow Up
Video Games Grow Up
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Dec. 2015 2016

The gaming industry has become a cultural force on par with the music industry and Hollywood. Video game stocks see massive growth.

Auto Industry Restructuring
Auto Industry Restructuring
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Mar. 2016 2017

Auto manufacturers’ stocks decline. Tesla rises. Tech providers to the auto industry benefit.

Advertising
Advertising's Identity Crisis
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Jan. 2016 2017

Ad agency stocks underperform market. Shift in ad dollars from TV to digital accelerates. Companies relying on digital advertising see significant stock growth.

The Battle For Consumer Time
The Battle For Consumer Time
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Jan. 2015 2016

Tradional content providers see declining audience, value and stock prices.

China Consumer Brand Strategy
China Consumer Brand Strategy
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Feb. 2014 2015

Beijing's stategy of creating its own global brands while creating roadblocks for foreign brands operating in China. Many foreign brands and U.S. tech companies see less revenue from China than expected and leave the country. Chinese brands start to compete globally.

Saudi Trifecta
Saudi Trifecta
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Dec. 2014 2015

Oil prices stay lower for much longer than anticipated.

The Great Restructuring Comes to Video Distribution
The Great Restructuring Comes to Video Distribution
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Mar. 2013 2014

Netflix stock rises for the rest of the decade and other streamers benefit from the rise of cord cutters and cord nevers. Content providers go OTT.

Retail Restructuring
Retail Restructuring
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
May. 2012 2014

The number of retail and mall bankruptcies increases. Physical retailers face online and direct-to-consumer competitors. Mid-level retailers and mall operators start a steady decline.

Spain
Spain's Green Shoots
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Jun. 2013 2014

Spain's GDP turns positive after years of decline. Unemployment declines for the rest of the decade.

Scrambling the Global Energy Market
Scrambling the Global Energy Market
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Dec. 2012 2014

Oil prices decline significantly and still remain below their previous peak as of 2022.

A New Japan
A New Japan
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Apr. 2012 2013

The Nikkei 225 Index triples over the next decade.

Got Health?
Got Health?
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Aug. 2012 2013

Gyms, fitness equipment and organic food companies all benefit. The rise of athleisure.

The Consumer Value Hierarchy Emerges
The Consumer Value Hierarchy Emerges
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Jul. 2012 2013

Companies that are focused on providing resourceful, simple, connective and experiential offerings see their stocks rise for most of the decade. The beginning of the "Experience Economy."

Cyber War: A Wilderness of Mirrors
Cyber War: A Wilderness of Mirrors
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Sep. 2008 2009

The Internet becomes a security liability. Increases in the frequency and power of cyber attacks. Cyber security stocks rise.

Thriller Apps!
Thriller Apps!
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Mar. 2009 2010

Apps drive smartphone adoption and change the nature of entertainment, retail, gaming, communications and more.

The Housing Tsunami
The Housing Tsunami
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Jun. 2005 2007

The housing collapse and Great Recession.

Networked Terrorism
Networked Terrorism
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Sep. 2000 2001

The 9/11 terrorist attacks on the U.S.

Internet Reassessment "Bubble.com"
Internet Reassessment "Bubble.com"
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Feb. 1999 Mar-00

The dot.com crash between 2000 and 2002.

Broadband Buildout
Broadband Buildout
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Dec. 1997 1998

Telecom/CLEC, cable and infrastructure company stocks see significant growth.

Global Financial Crisis (Asian Flu)
Global Financial Crisis (Asian Flu)
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Oct. 1996 Jul-97

Currency crisis hits Southeast Asia and Latin America. "Growth slows dramatically."

Internet "The Killer App"
Internet "The Killer App"
First Briefing to Clients Impact First Felt
Mar. 1996 1998

Changed the world as we now know it.